The following is a marketing newsletter issued by Active Niche Funds S.A. (ANF) and is intended for professional investors.
This is the June 2023 monthly update.
“Solar PV becomes the new king of electricity supply.”
NEWS OF THE MONTH
Active Solar returned a positive performance in June (+3%). The negative sentiment in regard to trade tensions between the USA and China is still holding back our stocks. In addition, we are witnessing an increased competition in China on sales of solar panels, which will have an impact on some companies’ margins in the second half of the year. We are logically reducing our exposure to these Chinese stocks.
Global Market Outlook 2023 – 2027 (SolarPower Europe)
SolarPower Europe released its main report called “Global Market Outlook 2023 – 2027”. The report gives an overview of the global solar market with historical data as well as expectations to 2027.
It is worth noting that last year solar PV accounted for 2/3 of every new renewable capacity addition:
Bordier conference : “Les enjeux du solaire”
Pascal Rochat was a speaker at a Bordier conference focusing on all aspects of solar. Other speakers were Raphaël Domjan (SolarStratos), Prof. Christophe Ballif (EPFL) and Vincent Rittener (Romande Energie).
In 20 minutes, Pascal gives an overview of the worldwide solar market and the potential investment opportunity (in French):
Pareto podcast with Pascal Rochat
Pascal was the guest at a well-known financial podcast in Scandinavia: the Pareto Podcast.
A 36 min conversation covering all aspects of the solar sector and Active Solar. Very enlightening, in particular if you are not familiar yet with the sector or the fund!
ACTIVE SOLAR IS A « DARK GREEN » FUND
Active Solar complies with article 9 SFDR (EU Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation), which means it is a “dark green” fund with a sustainable investment objective. Active Solar’s primary environmental objective in the framework of the Taxonomy Regulation is Climate Change Mitigation.
Several criteria related to Environment, Social and Governance are analysed and rated for each company. The results of these analyses play a significant role in the investment decisions
WHY IS SOLAR THE BIG WINNER OF THE ENERGY REVOLUTION ?
Target of being carbon neutral by 2050 and reducing CO2 emissions by 55% until 2030 vs. 1990 levels. REPowerEU targets 740 GW of solar capacities by 2030.
Target of being carbon neutral by 2060 and reducing CO2 emissions before 2030.
Target of being carbon neutral by 2050 and reducing CO2 emissions by 50% until 2030 vs. 2005 levels. Power generation to be 100% decarbonised by 2035.
Almost every industrialised country is aiming to decarbonise its economy by mid-century, which is only possible with a massive increase in solar installations.
CO2 emissions prices should keep increasing and a global CO2 market could progressively be implemented.
2) Consensus of the energy sector
International Energy Agency
In the « World Energy Outlook 2022 », the IEA expects in the “Announced Pledges Scenario” that solar PV will generate 13% of global electricity in 2030 and 31% in 2050 (3.5% in 2021). The “Net Zero Emissions by 2050” scenario sees solar producing 20% of the world electricity in 2030; this means that ca. 3’800 GW of solar PV capacities will be installed worldwide in the next 8 years, allowing global solar capacity to jump from around 1’200 GW at the end of 2022 to 5’000 GW by 2030.
Utilities and oil majors
Not only the utilities, but also the oil majors, are now all investing billion into solar PV: they unanimously recognise solar as a key driver of the energy transition.
Impact on other sectors
Every industry is now facing the pressure to set net zero targets.
3) Growth and maturity of the solar sector
The solar sector benefits from three mature environments: technology, industry and markets. Annual installations of solar PV will keep growing significantly to potentially reach 520 GW in 2025:
4) Investors’ interest
All institutional investors in the world are progressively aligning their portfolio with ESG criteria and disinvesting from fossil fuels in order to invest in renewables.
The stocks momentum is absolutely huge; it will last several years.
IT’S TIME TO INVEST
The revolution of the energy sector is only beginning thanks to large scale solar installations at extremely low costs. Solar generated 3.5% of the world electricity in 2021… and will probably account for 20% in 2030, which means new installations of ca. 4’000 GW in 8 years (350 GW expected in 2023).
Not only are we convinced that the world is now on a path to full decarbonisation, but we are clearly witnessing the decarbonisation of the power sector as the first and obvious step towards net-zero; most industrialised countries will be 100% renewables in the 2030s.
Francesco La Camera, Director-General at the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), explains why renewables are absolutely key to limiting global warming:
“First, the costs of renewable technologies have plummeted to the point that new fossil-based electricity is no longer an attractive option. Second, the progress in the power sector is spilling over to end uses, allowing a re-imagining of possibilities with the abundance of renewable options at hand. Third, a consensus has formed that an energy transition grounded in renewable sources of energy and efficient technologies is the only way to give us a fighting chance of limiting global warming by 2050 to 1.5°C.”
Active Solar gives investors the best exposure to the main revolution of the 21st century:
Issued by Active Niche Funds S.A. (ANF), Avenue de la Gare 1, 1003 Lausanne, Switzerland. ANF is authorised and regulated by the FINMA. This newsletter is a marketing material intended for ‘Professional Client’ only. Any reference to specific securities, sectors or markets within this document does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any security or fund, and is not intended to substitute the offering documents or prospectus of the Fund. This material may not be distributed, published or reproduced in whole or in part. ANF may terminate marketing at any time. All financial investments involve an element of risk. Therefore, the value of your investment will vary and your initial investment amount cannot be guaranteed. The indicated performance data does not take account of the commissions and costs incurred on the issue and redemption of units. Past performance is not an indication or guarantee for future performances. Investors should understand all characteristics of the Fund’s objective before investing. The Prospectus, the most recent financial reports and the Key Information Documents, which are available in registered jurisdictions in their respective local language can be found at www.fundinfo.com on the relevant product pages. Active Solar Fund is domiciled in Luxembourg. Carnegie Fund Services S.A., 11, rue du Général-Dufour, CH-1204 Geneva, Switzerland, phone: +41 22 705 11 78, www.carnegie-fund-services.ch, is the Swiss Representative of the Fund where legal documents are also available. The Swiss Paying Agent of the Fund is Banque Cantonale de Genève, 17, quai de l’Ile, CH-1204 Geneva, Switzerland. Current share prices are available on www.swissfunddata.ch. For information on investor rights and how to raise complaints please go to www.activenf.ch/investor-rights.
This article is provided for information only. The views of the author and any people quoted are their own and do not constitute financial advice. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any fund or trust, or to adopt a particular investment strategy.
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At Ethical Offshore Investments, for clients where this fund is appropriate for their investment needs and objectives, we can access this fund with no additional entry, buy/sell spread or exit fees via the various Life Company and direct Investment Platforms.
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